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ENG England - National League · Round 1 ·

Boreham Wood vs Tamworth

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.42 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr54%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Boreham WoodTamworth
Expected goals3.42Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
54% / 24% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tamworth win (21.7%)Dobbeltchance1X78.3%1.28
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Boreham Wood win54%1.85
Uafgjort24%4.17
Tamworth win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boreham Wood2.31

Hjemme share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals3.42Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Tamworth1.11

Ude share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Boreham Wood

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Tamworth

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
8
2.31
Expected goals
1.11
Boreham WoodTamworth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boreham Wood signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tamworth signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Boreham Wood vs Tamworth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boreham Wood vundet 54%,Uafgjort 24%,Tamworth vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over