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FRA Frankrig - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Pau vs Annecy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.51 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr34%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr39%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr39% selection probability
Projected score1–2PauAnnecy
Expected goals3.51Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
34% / 26% / 39%KampresultatUdesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dobbeltchance1273.5%1.36
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Begge hold scorerJa66%1.52
3.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapPau winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pau win34%2.942.6035.1%-1.1 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.4026.9%-0.9 pp
Annecy win39%2.562.4038%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pau1.38

Hjemme share of expected goals 39.3%

Total expected goals3.51Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Annecy2.13

Ude share of expected goals 60.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Pau

0.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Point0

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Annecy

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vundet probability excluding draw
39%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.38
Expected goals
2.13
PauAnnecy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pau signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annecy signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Pau vs Annecy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pau vundet 34%,Uafgjort 26%,Annecy vundet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over