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INT UEFA Women's Champions League - Kvalifikation · Kamp ·

Ajax (K) vs Real Madrid (K)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.09 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr19%
Uafgjort20%
Udesejr61%
Market-based forecastUdesejrTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ajax (K)Real Madrid (K)
Expected goals3.09Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
19% / 20% / 61%KampresultatUdesejr61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax (K) win (18.9%)DobbeltchanceX281.1%1.23
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Begge hold scorerJa62%1.61
3.09 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax (K) win19%5.265.5016.3%
Uafgjort20%5.004.7518.8%
Real Madrid (K) win61%1.641.3864.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax (K)1.24

Hjemme share of expected goals 40.1%

Total expected goals3.09Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Real Madrid (K)1.85

Ude share of expected goals 59.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ajax (K)

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Real Madrid (K)

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Vundet probability excluding draw
61%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.24
Expected goals
1.85
Ajax (K)Real Madrid (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax (K) signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Madrid (K) signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ajax (K) vs Real Madrid (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax (K) vundet 19%,Uafgjort 20%,Real Madrid (K) vundet 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over