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SWE Sverige - 2. div. Norra Götaland · Kamp ·

Lidköpings FK vs Ahlafors IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.88 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr28%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr45%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr45% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lidköpings FKAhlafors IF
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
28% / 27% / 45%KampresultatUdesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dobbeltchance1272.7%1.38
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Begge hold scorerJa57%1.75
2.88 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lidköpings FK win28%3.57
Uafgjort27%3.70
Ahlafors IF win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lidköpings FK1.14

Hjemme share of expected goals 39.6%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Ahlafors IF1.74

Ude share of expected goals 60.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lidköpings FK

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Ahlafors IF

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vundet probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.14
Expected goals
1.74
Lidköpings FKAhlafors IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lidköpings FK signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ahlafors IF signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lidköpings FK vs Ahlafors IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lidköpings FK vundet 28%,Uafgjort 27%,Ahlafors IF vundet 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over