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DNK Dánsko - 2. divize · Round 4 ·

Fremad Amager vs Thisted FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích54%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů20%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích54% selection probability
Projected score1–1Fremad AmagerThisted FC
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně76% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
54% / 26% / 20%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thisted FC win (20%)Dvojitá šance1X80%1.25
Více 24% · Méně 76%Goals 2.5Méně76%1.32
Ano 31% · Ne 69%Oba týmy skórujíNe69%1.45
1.67 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFremad Amager winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fremad Amager win54%1.851.6255.2%-1.2 pp
Remíza26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Thisted FC win20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fremad Amager1.04

Domácí share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 24% · Méně 76%

Thisted FC0.63

Hosté share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 31% · Ne 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Fremad Amager

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Thisted FC

0.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Výhra probability excluding draw
20%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.04
Expected goals
0.63
Fremad AmagerThisted FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fremad Amager signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thisted FC signalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fremad Amager vs Thisted FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fremad Amager výhra 54%,Remíza 26%,Thisted FC výhra 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Více 2.5 24% · Current selection Méně