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JPN Япония - Джей Лига 3 · Мач ·

Тошиги СК vs Звейген Каназава

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен29%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Тошиги СКЗвейген Каназава
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 29% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Двоен шанс1271.3%1.40
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapТошиги СК winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Тошиги СК win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Равен29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Звейген Каназава win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Тошиги СК1.38

Домакин share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Звейген Каназава1.18

Гост share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Тошиги СК

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Звейген Каназава

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.38
Expected goals
1.18
Тошиги СКЗвейген Каназава
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Тошиги СК signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Звейген Каназава signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Тошиги СК vs Звейген Каназава FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Тошиги СК печеливш 41%,Равен 29%,Звейген Каназава печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под