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CHE Швейцария - Чалъндж Лига · Мач ·

Етуал Каруж vs Нюшател Ксамакс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.81 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен26%
Победа за госта35%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Етуал КаружНюшател Ксамакс
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 26% / 35%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Двоен шанс1274.1%1.35
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapНюшател Ксамакс winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Етуал Каруж win40%2.502.3539.6%+0.4 pp
Равен26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Нюшател Ксамакс win35%2.862.7034.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Етуал Каруж1.43

Домакин share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

Нюшател Ксамакс1.38

Гост share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Етуал Каруж

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Нюшател Ксамакс

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
35%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.43
Expected goals
1.38
Етуал КаружНюшател Ксамакс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Етуал Каруж signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нюшател Ксамакс signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Етуал Каруж vs Нюшател Ксамакс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Етуал Каруж печеливш 40%,Равен 26%,Нюшател Ксамакс печеливш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над